2024 Us Recession Forecast. The key surprise has been much stronger than expected gdp growth, though this has not prevented the labor market from continuing to rebalance or inflation from continuing to. The gdpnow model estimate for real gdp growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in the third quarter of 2024 is 3.4 percent on october.
Morgan research has raised the probability of a u.s. There’s an 85% chance the us economy will enter a recession in 2024, the economist david rosenberg says.
